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	<title>Comments on: The Chat Room with the Magic Indicator</title>
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	<description>Technical Analysis of the financial markets, and other thoughts on trading</description>
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		<title>By: ac</title>
		<link>http://tuckerreport.com/articles/magic-indicator/comment-page-1/#comment-294693</link>
		<dc:creator>ac</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Feb 2013 14:19:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tuckerreport.com/articles/the-chat-room-with-the-magic-indicator/#comment-294693</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m not yet succesful trader but every one of my big losers so far were due to arrogance/ignorance, mostly a failure to either to respect the importance of news/events, sticking to my directional bias when the price hit a &quot;wall&quot; that it couldn&#039;t penetrate and then ending up trying to pick bottoms (counter trend). 

I believe the first step in becoming succesful is finding out what move the prices, ie. what created the supply or demand causing the movement. The moment I learned that indicators are just derivatives of the price I started looking for other things. Also if all the trading platforms contain a set of indicators, the most logical thing to me is that if those indicators work(ed), then they stop working (for the rest of us) when insider who can get the lowest latency access possible starts using it with millions.

The information I look for in the web is hints of ideas I haven&#039;t heard of before. Also I believe that edge by definition is something that only few can have in order it to work (everyone can&#039;t win the tournament), so that discounts anything based primarily on well known indicators - those are at most a confirming element.


My recommendation?

If you want to get serious and possibly backtest things later in more credible manner: every time you see or read/hear something that affects the way you view the market conditions, take a note of the time and the new &quot;bias&quot;. When backtesting, you can then use this information to bias your backtests in discretionary manner. eg. perhaps you read a rumor of possible central bank action at certain time, if your future backtesting always incorporates these informations you noted down when they happened, that could have significant effect. If &quot;buy the rumor, sell the news&quot; applies, you&#039;d want to also incorporate a note of when the rumor became the news in your view so that the backtests can use this information.

I&#039;ve read about a profitable mechanical trader and it was said they use several systems and switch them around based on market conditions, and condition changes are usually based on some news or event. Your backtesting should thus contain information on the conditions changes and have the system in test only active in the backtest period when your notes said such (eg. bullish,bearish, ranging, avoid trade etc).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m not yet succesful trader but every one of my big losers so far were due to arrogance/ignorance, mostly a failure to either to respect the importance of news/events, sticking to my directional bias when the price hit a &#8220;wall&#8221; that it couldn&#8217;t penetrate and then ending up trying to pick bottoms (counter trend). </p>
<p>I believe the first step in becoming succesful is finding out what move the prices, ie. what created the supply or demand causing the movement. The moment I learned that indicators are just derivatives of the price I started looking for other things. Also if all the trading platforms contain a set of indicators, the most logical thing to me is that if those indicators work(ed), then they stop working (for the rest of us) when insider who can get the lowest latency access possible starts using it with millions.</p>
<p>The information I look for in the web is hints of ideas I haven&#8217;t heard of before. Also I believe that edge by definition is something that only few can have in order it to work (everyone can&#8217;t win the tournament), so that discounts anything based primarily on well known indicators &#8211; those are at most a confirming element.</p>
<p>My recommendation?</p>
<p>If you want to get serious and possibly backtest things later in more credible manner: every time you see or read/hear something that affects the way you view the market conditions, take a note of the time and the new &#8220;bias&#8221;. When backtesting, you can then use this information to bias your backtests in discretionary manner. eg. perhaps you read a rumor of possible central bank action at certain time, if your future backtesting always incorporates these informations you noted down when they happened, that could have significant effect. If &#8220;buy the rumor, sell the news&#8221; applies, you&#8217;d want to also incorporate a note of when the rumor became the news in your view so that the backtests can use this information.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve read about a profitable mechanical trader and it was said they use several systems and switch them around based on market conditions, and condition changes are usually based on some news or event. Your backtesting should thus contain information on the conditions changes and have the system in test only active in the backtest period when your notes said such (eg. bullish,bearish, ranging, avoid trade etc).</p>
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		<title>By: Riddell Helmets</title>
		<link>http://tuckerreport.com/articles/magic-indicator/comment-page-1/#comment-65951</link>
		<dc:creator>Riddell Helmets</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 May 2012 00:11:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tuckerreport.com/articles/the-chat-room-with-the-magic-indicator/#comment-65951</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;click here...&lt;/strong&gt;

[...]here are some links to sites that we link to because we think they are worth visiting[...]...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>click here&#8230;</strong></p>
<p>[...]here are some links to sites that we link to because we think they are worth visiting[...]&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Michael M</title>
		<link>http://tuckerreport.com/articles/magic-indicator/comment-page-1/#comment-23330</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael M</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Jun 2011 19:13:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tuckerreport.com/articles/the-chat-room-with-the-magic-indicator/#comment-23330</guid>
		<description>I was in the original woodies room way back when there was maybe 10 people in the room.  The popularity of the room has grown but the writer fails to  understand that Woodie cannot give exact entries for many reasons -- one being it would violate securities rules/laws. Image the compliants and lawsuits if some bozo with a 5k account &quot;misread&quot; a trade that Woodie recommended.  Who needs that problem?  Hence the format of the CCI room. 
Woodie trades his own system profitable because he has experience, a bankroll, keeps stats and has time in market.  Most &quot;traders&quot; (99%) are part timers looking for quick money, woefully under capitalized, impatient, no money management skills, or just can&#039;t comprehend basic math.  His site is a place to start - thats it.  Woodie tried many years ago to bring &quot;investors&quot; in to trade a computerized program but it failed - for many reasons.  One there is no such thing as a black box system.  If one does exist you would never know about because the hedge fund that has would never share it.. So anything advertised as a trading program is a loser-guaranteed.  My sense is the writer has tried many trading systems and his &quot;slump&quot; was basically &quot; I burned my brokerage account again&quot;. and I need to find another &quot;holy grail&quot;. 
I do agree with the Mr. Tucker about the asking of questions in the room and being shut down. That does exist.  It didn&#039;t use to, until the site started attracting hundreds of people per day and woodie simply could not answer every question on his &quot;free site&quot; -- image the chaos.   So the forums are bit more useful for free flowing ideas or questions.   There is no easy road to trading professionally otherwise every nitwit with a computer and ameritrade account would be millionaire - since the average account size at these firms is barely 16k -- you get the point.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I was in the original woodies room way back when there was maybe 10 people in the room.  The popularity of the room has grown but the writer fails to  understand that Woodie cannot give exact entries for many reasons &#8212; one being it would violate securities rules/laws. Image the compliants and lawsuits if some bozo with a 5k account &#8220;misread&#8221; a trade that Woodie recommended.  Who needs that problem?  Hence the format of the CCI room.<br />
Woodie trades his own system profitable because he has experience, a bankroll, keeps stats and has time in market.  Most &#8220;traders&#8221; (99%) are part timers looking for quick money, woefully under capitalized, impatient, no money management skills, or just can&#8217;t comprehend basic math.  His site is a place to start &#8211; thats it.  Woodie tried many years ago to bring &#8220;investors&#8221; in to trade a computerized program but it failed &#8211; for many reasons.  One there is no such thing as a black box system.  If one does exist you would never know about because the hedge fund that has would never share it.. So anything advertised as a trading program is a loser-guaranteed.  My sense is the writer has tried many trading systems and his &#8220;slump&#8221; was basically &#8221; I burned my brokerage account again&#8221;. and I need to find another &#8220;holy grail&#8221;.<br />
I do agree with the Mr. Tucker about the asking of questions in the room and being shut down. That does exist.  It didn&#8217;t use to, until the site started attracting hundreds of people per day and woodie simply could not answer every question on his &#8220;free site&#8221; &#8212; image the chaos.   So the forums are bit more useful for free flowing ideas or questions.   There is no easy road to trading professionally otherwise every nitwit with a computer and ameritrade account would be millionaire &#8211; since the average account size at these firms is barely 16k &#8212; you get the point.</p>
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		<title>By: forex day trading signals</title>
		<link>http://tuckerreport.com/articles/magic-indicator/comment-page-1/#comment-11009</link>
		<dc:creator>forex day trading signals</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Feb 2010 10:40:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tuckerreport.com/articles/the-chat-room-with-the-magic-indicator/#comment-11009</guid>
		<description>&lt;strong&gt;forex day trading signals...&lt;/strong&gt;

The TrackBack specification was created by Six Apart, who first implemented it in their Movable Type blogging software in August...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>forex day trading signals&#8230;</strong></p>
<p>The TrackBack specification was created by Six Apart, who first implemented it in their Movable Type blogging software in August&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: Poppadom Dave</title>
		<link>http://tuckerreport.com/articles/magic-indicator/comment-page-1/#comment-10508</link>
		<dc:creator>Poppadom Dave</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 03 Feb 2010 17:32:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tuckerreport.com/articles/the-chat-room-with-the-magic-indicator/#comment-10508</guid>
		<description>Read this article years ago. Returning to it now after having some success with a stripped down CCI system. 

To be honest, I never bothered looking into the CCI club because there&#039;s so much crap on the homepage. Gave me a headache just looking at it. Don&#039;t like talking to others anyway.

I came across the CCI pdf and just adapted the system after 5 minutes of trying it. Looking at the CCI patterns is a good idea - even if they are lifted from other sources. And I did need to get rid of prices but only when starting out in demo trading to gain trust in the system. 

A fast setting (CCI 14) is only good for trying to get a tight entry / exit in a nice long trend. No good trying to trade noise - you&#039;ll get cut up and bleed to death. You need to look at the price conditions to know that. A slower value works better to absorb noise BUT only with your own set of management rules in addition to the less important CCI rules.

A CCI chart is almost similar to a MACD chart , e.g. 5 minute CCI 34 and 5 minute 4,34,14 MACD. The strength is in the patterns, not the indicator. Even then, you can be very successful with just the ZLX and ZLR patterns as a trend follower in the right markets but only with your own money and stop-loss rules to protect yourself with (You WILL suffer losses). On it&#039;s own, WCCI will &#039;probably&#039; not work (in present conditions).  Discretion overlays the mechanical.

Due diligence, people. Put in the ground work before committing money.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Read this article years ago. Returning to it now after having some success with a stripped down CCI system. </p>
<p>To be honest, I never bothered looking into the CCI club because there&#8217;s so much crap on the homepage. Gave me a headache just looking at it. Don&#8217;t like talking to others anyway.</p>
<p>I came across the CCI pdf and just adapted the system after 5 minutes of trying it. Looking at the CCI patterns is a good idea &#8211; even if they are lifted from other sources. And I did need to get rid of prices but only when starting out in demo trading to gain trust in the system. </p>
<p>A fast setting (CCI 14) is only good for trying to get a tight entry / exit in a nice long trend. No good trying to trade noise &#8211; you&#8217;ll get cut up and bleed to death. You need to look at the price conditions to know that. A slower value works better to absorb noise BUT only with your own set of management rules in addition to the less important CCI rules.</p>
<p>A CCI chart is almost similar to a MACD chart , e.g. 5 minute CCI 34 and 5 minute 4,34,14 MACD. The strength is in the patterns, not the indicator. Even then, you can be very successful with just the ZLX and ZLR patterns as a trend follower in the right markets but only with your own money and stop-loss rules to protect yourself with (You WILL suffer losses). On it&#8217;s own, WCCI will &#8216;probably&#8217; not work (in present conditions).  Discretion overlays the mechanical.</p>
<p>Due diligence, people. Put in the ground work before committing money.</p>
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		<title>By: Jason Bignan</title>
		<link>http://tuckerreport.com/articles/magic-indicator/comment-page-1/#comment-9146</link>
		<dc:creator>Jason Bignan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Dec 2009 23:19:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tuckerreport.com/articles/the-chat-room-with-the-magic-indicator/#comment-9146</guid>
		<description>Ok, I read this whole blog as well as the comments. Here are my findings.

I am a successful trader. I have MANY setups and methodologies. I have more than I know what to do with. I have a limited amount of capital, but it continues to grow and I am now managing other people&#039;s money now as well.

I often tell anyone who will listen what I do and how I do it. Usually friends or people that I want to help. I also would have no problem sharing what I know for a fee.

I can make money with nothing more than a yahoo chart and a DOM. That&#039;s because I spent many years watching ticks.

The most important piece of trading is money management. You can flip a coin for entry. It&#039;s how you manage the trade that makes the difference. Thus if I &quot;taught&quot; someone how to trade, it would be less about setups and more about management and psychology.

The &quot;wholly&quot; grail is about being a &quot;whole&quot; person mentally and financially. Thus successful trading or ANY success will be a by product of said.

Now as far as WCCI. Leave him alone. There is nothing wrong with a guru or anything of the like, just like there is nothing wrong with random entry and good management. My point is that two people with equally accounts, both sitting in the WCCI room, with BOTH get different results. I can understand why they want to shut those people up who are contrary to the mission. It&#039;s because people have a sense of something that works FOR THEM and if you come in there and get negative, you might mess them up. If you want to question his methods or his cult, then make a new website and let people visit and discuss it there. What I mean is this. I absolutely don&#039;t want anyone&#039;s opinion when I am in a trade. I will hide all I can from the world because they will mess me up.

I can tell you first hand that I have shared some VERY nice secrets I have learned and ironically, I have received responses similar to that of what Doug Tucker has provided herein. This is not to say that Doug doesn&#039;t provide value, but rather anyone from WCCI could come and critic&#039; his site equally to the way he criticized theirs.

Bottom line. Stop whining, Shut up, and trade. The real secret to this game is capital. You 1-5 lot traders will get killed out there or make a little lose a little. The way to survive is capital and position sizing.

I&#039;m out!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Ok, I read this whole blog as well as the comments. Here are my findings.</p>
<p>I am a successful trader. I have MANY setups and methodologies. I have more than I know what to do with. I have a limited amount of capital, but it continues to grow and I am now managing other people&#8217;s money now as well.</p>
<p>I often tell anyone who will listen what I do and how I do it. Usually friends or people that I want to help. I also would have no problem sharing what I know for a fee.</p>
<p>I can make money with nothing more than a yahoo chart and a DOM. That&#8217;s because I spent many years watching ticks.</p>
<p>The most important piece of trading is money management. You can flip a coin for entry. It&#8217;s how you manage the trade that makes the difference. Thus if I &#8220;taught&#8221; someone how to trade, it would be less about setups and more about management and psychology.</p>
<p>The &#8220;wholly&#8221; grail is about being a &#8220;whole&#8221; person mentally and financially. Thus successful trading or ANY success will be a by product of said.</p>
<p>Now as far as WCCI. Leave him alone. There is nothing wrong with a guru or anything of the like, just like there is nothing wrong with random entry and good management. My point is that two people with equally accounts, both sitting in the WCCI room, with BOTH get different results. I can understand why they want to shut those people up who are contrary to the mission. It&#8217;s because people have a sense of something that works FOR THEM and if you come in there and get negative, you might mess them up. If you want to question his methods or his cult, then make a new website and let people visit and discuss it there. What I mean is this. I absolutely don&#8217;t want anyone&#8217;s opinion when I am in a trade. I will hide all I can from the world because they will mess me up.</p>
<p>I can tell you first hand that I have shared some VERY nice secrets I have learned and ironically, I have received responses similar to that of what Doug Tucker has provided herein. This is not to say that Doug doesn&#8217;t provide value, but rather anyone from WCCI could come and critic&#8217; his site equally to the way he criticized theirs.</p>
<p>Bottom line. Stop whining, Shut up, and trade. The real secret to this game is capital. You 1-5 lot traders will get killed out there or make a little lose a little. The way to survive is capital and position sizing.</p>
<p>I&#8217;m out!</p>
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		<title>By: David Van Dyke</title>
		<link>http://tuckerreport.com/articles/magic-indicator/comment-page-1/#comment-9058</link>
		<dc:creator>David Van Dyke</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 17 Dec 2009 00:52:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tuckerreport.com/articles/the-chat-room-with-the-magic-indicator/#comment-9058</guid>
		<description>After nearly two years of WCCI study and research, I find it is necesasry to screen out many signals.  I find Stoc helpful to screen out some, and observing the price action screens out others.  I have found the Hood from Extreme, which Woodie no longer uses, produces the best results, and the 100 lines are great for exiting or entering trades, but be prepared to exit quick if it retraces.  When they stopped posting results, right after I joined, I became very suspicious.  I also believe the longer time frames offer a better chance by eliminating the static.
     I have not used the range bars.  Perhaps there are other indicators that will help eliminate the bad signals.  I lost for a full year.  Now I make money by paying attention to support and resistance, trend direction, combining common technical knowledge, fibonacchi, Elliot Wave.  How much credit is left to go to CCI?  I have no way to measure.  I know the zero line reject is sure good for losers.  You must have a very strong trend to have any success with zero line rejects.  Anyone got any help for me?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>After nearly two years of WCCI study and research, I find it is necesasry to screen out many signals.  I find Stoc helpful to screen out some, and observing the price action screens out others.  I have found the Hood from Extreme, which Woodie no longer uses, produces the best results, and the 100 lines are great for exiting or entering trades, but be prepared to exit quick if it retraces.  When they stopped posting results, right after I joined, I became very suspicious.  I also believe the longer time frames offer a better chance by eliminating the static.<br />
     I have not used the range bars.  Perhaps there are other indicators that will help eliminate the bad signals.  I lost for a full year.  Now I make money by paying attention to support and resistance, trend direction, combining common technical knowledge, fibonacchi, Elliot Wave.  How much credit is left to go to CCI?  I have no way to measure.  I know the zero line reject is sure good for losers.  You must have a very strong trend to have any success with zero line rejects.  Anyone got any help for me?</p>
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		<title>By: DB</title>
		<link>http://tuckerreport.com/articles/magic-indicator/comment-page-1/#comment-7606</link>
		<dc:creator>DB</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Nov 2009 19:10:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tuckerreport.com/articles/the-chat-room-with-the-magic-indicator/#comment-7606</guid>
		<description>I have searched the Web and NEVER found anyone who has claimed success with WCCI. His new book is a disaster. The PFG manual located FREE on his site is better. But W never says EXACTLY where to enter or exit. He just offers &quot;suggestions.&quot; When you really dig into Woodie&#039;s info., you fund there are NO exact rules, and no mention of price. I followed him for 2 years. The chat room will quickly ostracize you if you write anything negative. Or your &quot;critical&quot; question will just be ignored or shrugged off with a quick word or two. Forget it. And do NOT waste your money on the DVD set. Oh, and I did nothing but lose money on Woodie&#039;s &quot;nebulous&quot; setups.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have searched the Web and NEVER found anyone who has claimed success with WCCI. His new book is a disaster. The PFG manual located FREE on his site is better. But W never says EXACTLY where to enter or exit. He just offers &#8220;suggestions.&#8221; When you really dig into Woodie&#8217;s info., you fund there are NO exact rules, and no mention of price. I followed him for 2 years. The chat room will quickly ostracize you if you write anything negative. Or your &#8220;critical&#8221; question will just be ignored or shrugged off with a quick word or two. Forget it. And do NOT waste your money on the DVD set. Oh, and I did nothing but lose money on Woodie&#8217;s &#8220;nebulous&#8221; setups.</p>
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		<title>By: Thomas</title>
		<link>http://tuckerreport.com/articles/magic-indicator/comment-page-1/#comment-7359</link>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2009 00:00:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tuckerreport.com/articles/the-chat-room-with-the-magic-indicator/#comment-7359</guid>
		<description>Doug,
Well done. I have been around Woodies chat room for about a year. In my opinion, your conclusions are fair. I sim traded 15 tick range bar for 8 months and compiled stats on hundreds of trades just to realize that if you simply TRADE THE DAMN PATTERNS blindly you will LOOSE YOUR DAMN ACCOUNT. However, if you analyze your stats carefully, and become more selective based on your stats, CCI ( not necessarily woodies patterns ) offer a good building block to a profitable trading plan.
To make your analysis of Woodies group complete, I must add one observation; perhaps not the entire PFG Best as an organization but definitely Neil Rogers is a piece of shit not just as a broker but also as a person.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Doug,<br />
Well done. I have been around Woodies chat room for about a year. In my opinion, your conclusions are fair. I sim traded 15 tick range bar for 8 months and compiled stats on hundreds of trades just to realize that if you simply TRADE THE DAMN PATTERNS blindly you will LOOSE YOUR DAMN ACCOUNT. However, if you analyze your stats carefully, and become more selective based on your stats, CCI ( not necessarily woodies patterns ) offer a good building block to a profitable trading plan.<br />
To make your analysis of Woodies group complete, I must add one observation; perhaps not the entire PFG Best as an organization but definitely Neil Rogers is a piece of shit not just as a broker but also as a person.</p>
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		<title>By: Woodies CCI Club Junkies &#171; TradingBlog</title>
		<link>http://tuckerreport.com/articles/magic-indicator/comment-page-1/#comment-4947</link>
		<dc:creator>Woodies CCI Club Junkies &#171; TradingBlog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2009 18:56:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://tuckerreport.com/articles/the-chat-room-with-the-magic-indicator/#comment-4947</guid>
		<description>[...] was also sent in link to another site that also addresses these issues.   http://tuckerreport.com/articles/magic-indicator/ Check it out &amp; if you come across similar info at other sites,  send them in Ill add them [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] was also sent in link to another site that also addresses these issues.   http://tuckerreport.com/articles/magic-indicator/ Check it out &amp; if you come across similar info at other sites,  send them in Ill add them [...]</p>
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